What the Luck?: The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives by Gary Smith
Requirements: MP3 Player, 64 kbps, Duration: 7 hours 49 minutes (Chapterized) | 200 MB
Overview: The newest book by the acclaimed author of Standard Deviations takes on luck, and all the mischief the idea of luck can cause in our lives.
In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It is an empirical fact that highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent. Students who get the highest scores in third grade generally get lower scores in fourth grade.
And yet, it’s wrong to conclude that screaming is not more effective in pilot training, women choose men whose intelligence does not intimidate them, or schools are failing third graders. In fact, there’s one reason for each of these empirical facts: Statistics. Specifically, a statical concept called regression to the mean.
Regression to the mean seeks to explain, with statistics, the role of luck in our day-to-day lives. An insufficient appreciation of luck and chance can wreak all kinds of mischief in sports, education, medicine, business, politics, and more. It can lead us to see illness when we are not sick and to see cures when treatments are worthless. Perfectly natural random variation can lead us to attach meaning to the meaningless.
Genre: Audiobooks > Social Sciences
Download Instructions:
http://www24.zippyshare.com/v/Hr9qCxN1/file.html
https://dailyuploads.net/u6mb6fn12d8j
https://www.solidfiles.com/v/GKWAVAk8G8RGZ
