Strategic Victory With Chinese Characteristics by Ehsan Ahrari
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Overview: The 2013 White Paper of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has omitted the usual mention that it will not use nuclear weapons as the weapon of first resort—the so-called no first use (NFU) doctrine—in any military conflict. The United States appears to be noticeably concerned about that “seemingly purposeful” omission. The phrase “seemingly purposeful” is used here to underscore that it was not an oversight. The White Paper is a serious document, and the Chinese know that the security community of the entire world—especially the United States—scours its every detail. So, the question is, Why did China decide to drop the mention of the NFU doctrine from its latest White Paper? Does that mean it is having second thoughts about the NFU, or is it sending some sort of cryptic signal to the United States, which has embarked upon its “Asia Pivot” strategy? That strategy is viewed with considerable suspicion by Chinese leaders as America’s attempt to contain them. The United States may not want to contain China; however, its Asia Pivot is certainly aimed at escalating its military presence in a region where its political clout has never been low. In that sense, it can be rightly construed by the PRC that the United States, without saying so, is involved in containing it. If Chinese leaders envision America’s Asia Pivot-related maneuvers as a not-so-subtle move to contain them, this essay will argue that, in their quintessential cryptic/non-cryptic way, they may be responding by deleting the NFU doctrine to see how that move is read and countered by the United States. In the ongoing power play between the United States and China, it is hard to ignore the subtleties of China’s strategic affairs, since those intricacies—along with stated policies—are integral aspects of the making of a winning strategy with Chinese characteristics. By ignoring these subtleties, or by not responding to them properly, the administration of President Barack Obama will only complicate its ties with the PRC.
Genre: Non-Fiction > Educational
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